Key Forecasts and Transformations Shaping the 2024 Freight Landscape
The 2024 freight market is expected to experience significant trends and market shifts, with key factors influencing both air and ocean freight sectors, as well as broader supply chain operations.
Key Trends in Air Freight
1. Stabilization of Market Rates: Demand for air freight is anticipated to increase, driven partly by nearshoring and changes in consumer spending. However, this will be tempered by constricted capacity that keeps market rates relatively flat for the majority of the year before a potential surge in Q4.
2. Impact of Global Conflicts: Ongoing conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine is predicted to affect oil prices, thereby impacting air freight costs significantly.
3. Technological Advances: The adoption of technologies such as generative AI for capacity matching and supply chain optimization is also transforming the air freight sector.
Key Trends in Ocean Freight
1. Overcapacity Issues: The ocean freight sector is likely to face an overcapacity situation, as new capacity outpaces demand. This is reflected in a record low Drewry Supply/Demand Index of 74.3 for 2024, far below the market equilibrium benchmark of 100.
2. Rate Management by Carriers: Carriers are expected to employ strategies like blank sailings and slow steaming to manage the excess capacity and stabilize rates, even though low-rate levels are projected.
3. Influence of Major Canals: Potential disruptions in the Suez Canal and recovery operations in the Panama Canal are influencing the freight landscape by impacting delivery times and operational strategies.
U.S. Customs and Trade Policies
1. Enhanced Enforcement: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) will escalate enforcement of the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA), placing more responsibility on U.S. importers to ensure compliant supply chains.
2. New Data Requirements: Partner Government Agencies (PGAs) will mandate new data elements, changing the compliance landscape for importers.
Global Macroeconomic and Logistical Shifts
1. Revised GDP Growth: Global GDP growth has been revised downward, influenced by softening economic conditions in APAC and China, but with improved projections in the U.S. for the second half of 2024.
2. Nearshoring: The trend of nearshoring, particularly to Mexico, is expected to continue, driven by a noteworthy increase in foreign direct investment in the country. This strategy aims to mitigate supply chain disruptions and enhance operational resilience.
3. Contract Logistics Growth: The demand for outsourced logistics services remains strong, with significant growth in contract logistics predicted despite inflationary and geopolitical pressures.
In summary, the 2024 freight market is poised for complex dynamics with stabilization in air freight rates, overcapacity in ocean freight, strict enforcement of trade policies, and a strategic shift towards nearshoring to navigate global uncertainties.
2024-04-30
Impact and Details of COSCO Shipping Lines' Rate Increase on North American Trade Routes
COSCO Shipping Announces GRI Increase on U.S. Routes Effective May 15, 2024COSCO Shipping Lines has announced a significant General Rate Increase (GRI), effective May 15, 2024, affecting cargo shipments to North America from various international regions. This decision has wide-reaching implications for global trade dynamics.Starting May 15, 2024, the new General Rate Increase (GRI) from COSCO Shipping Lines will be in effect for all shipments from the Far East, Indian Subcontinent, Middle East, and Oceania to the U.S. This includes countries such as Australia, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Brunei, Myanmar, Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Jordan, South Korea, Kuwait, Hong Kong, Macau, Malaysia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Qatar, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam, and Yemen. The GRI will be as follows for U.S. routes: - 20-foot container: $1,600 increase - 40-foot container: $2,000 increase - 40-foot high cube: $2,250 increase - 45-foot container: $2,532 increaseThe above charges will apply to:l Goods transported via all-water routes to the U.S. West Coast ports and intermodal shipments through these ports to California, Oregon, and Washington.l Intermodal and land bridge shipments via U.S. West Coast and Canadian ports to regions outside of California, Oregon, and Washington.l All goods shipped via all-water routes to the U.S. East Coast and Gulf of Mexico ports and all intermodal shipments through these ports.For Canada, there is an increase in the General Rate Increase (GRI) for shipments from the Far East to Vancouver/Prince Rupert, and for intermodal shipments through Vancouver/Prince Rupert. The GRI also applies to all-water transportation to the East Coast and intermodal shipments via the East Coast.The GRI will be as follows for Canada Routes: - 20-foot container: $1,800 increase - 40-foot container: $2,000 increase - 40-foot high cube: $2,250 increase - 45-foot container: $2,532 increaseBusiness ImplicationsThe increased shipping costs will directly impact businesses importing goods into the U.S. and Canada, potentially leading to higher consumer prices and necessitating adjustments in supply chain and inventory management.Strategic AdjustmentsCompanies are advised to explore alternative shipping options, renegotiate with logistics providers, or enhance relationships with local suppliers to mitigate the financial impacts of the rate increases.ConclusionThis GRI by COSCO Shipping Lines is set to reshape the cost structures of North American businesses reliant on international trade. Companies must adapt strategically to manage these increased costs effectively.
2024-05-24
MSC Launches $10,000 Guaranteed Freight Rate
MSC Revives $10,000 Guaranteed Freight Rate Amid Global Shipping ChallengesMSC, the world's largest container shipping company MSC, has reintroduced its "Diamond Tier" freight rate, originally implemented during the pandemic. This premium rate guarantees space for shippers, a significant aid given the current market conditions.Rate DetailsThe Diamond Tier guarantees space at the following rates between May 15 and May 31:- $8,000 per 40-foot container for the West Coast of the United States- $10,000 per 40-foot container for the East Coast of the United StatesCurrently, rates are around $4,200 for West Coast shipments and $5,300 for East Coast shipments, making the guaranteed rate nearly double the current market prices.Check our freight rate:https://globalshippingauto.com/fcl-shipping-from-chinaMarket ResponseDespite MSC's move, major shipping companies and freight forwarders have yet to confirm similar measures. Other companies have only announced a $1,000 per container increase for US-bound shipments and a $1,500 increase for Europe-bound shipments starting May 15 [citation:1][citation:9].Impact on ShippersThe surge in freight rates is causing significant strain for shippers. Congestion and container shortages have spread from Ningbo Port to Shanghai Port and now affect major ports across the country. Consequently, shippers face delayed shipments, increased costs, and potential impacts on subsequent orders, reflecting broader logistical challenges in the face of growing demand and supply chain disruptions [citation:5][citation:9].Industry ImplicationsFor container manufacturers and shipping companies, this situation has resulted in a more favorable business environment. Companies like China International Marine Containers (CIMC) reported a significant recovery in their container business, with dry cargo container sales nearly quintupling year-over-year in Q1 2024.
2024-09-23
What Are the Costs Incurred United States FBA Shipping?
Shipping products through Amazon's FBA (Fulfillment by Amazon) program doesn't just involve transporting them from one place to another; it consists of managing an intricate supply chain from start to finish.Understanding all the costs involved can help you plan more effectively for any surprises that might pop up, simplify budgeting, and avoid unpleasant surprises altogether.Shipping by SeaShipping goods by sea is often an economical means of transporting large volumes, yet this doesn't make sending products overseas any less expensive.The cost of shipping by sea depends on several variables, including the size and weight of your, the season in which it arrives, and the shipping schedule plays a factor.Shipping goods from China to the U.S. via Los Angeles port typically costs $6,000- $7,500; delivery usually occurs within 12-18 days.If your shipment doesn't require the full space of an entire container, an LCL (Less Than Container Load) option might be more cost-effective for you if there's little to send.This arrangement allows your goods to share container space with other shipments - something more suitable if there aren't too many things that need transporting at once.However, LCL shipments typically take longer to arrive due to additional handling and logistics processes.Although this might save some money upfront, the longer delivery times can hinder your ability to quickly replenish inventory or reach customers with products.Extra ChargesIn addition to shipping costs, additional fees may arise depending on your circumstances, which can quickly occur. Therefore, you must know what they may be and be aware of potential surprises.One of the more prevalent additional charges is the Peak Season Surcharge, which usually kicks in during busy shipping periods like holiday shipping.Companies tend to increase prices during these peak seasons when demand increases significantly, and shipping companies often increase prices accordingly.Overweight or oversized fees may also arise. These charges apply when your products exceed the size and weight limits set by the shipping company; it's essential that if they are particularly heavy or bulky, these potential charges be factored into your budget.Planning and understanding potential fees will help prevent unexpected charges and keep shipping costs under control.Customs FeesOnce your shipment arrives in the U.S., it must pass through customs. This involves declaring it to U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which ensures that all legal and safety standards are upheld.If the total value of your shipment exceeds $2,500, an official declaration is necessary. This entails providing details on what's being shipped. Specifically, an H.S. code helps classify products for customs purposes.As part of your import declaration process, you'll also require a customs bond - an insurance policy against duties and taxes being levied against your imports, guaranteeing them to the government and getting paid off properly. Think of it as ensuring Uncle Sam gets their cut of your import.Navigating customs can be complicated. That's why many sellers opt to work with a customs broker, an individual or a professional who handles the customs clearance process on their behalf.Although using such services does come at an extra cost—their fees vary widely—they might be worthwhile investments for newcomers to international shipping.Certifications and InspectionsCertain goods entering the U.S. must meet specific regulations before being sold here. For instance, food, electronics, and medical devices require certifications from agencies like the FDA (Food and Drug Administration) or the EPA (Environmental Protection Agency).Acquisition of certifications can be expensive. Each certification requires its own specific criteria, and fees may need to be paid to obtain it.Furthermore, this process takes time; therefore, it's wise to plan ahead when scheduling shipments.Customs may randomly choose your shipment for inspection, which would necessitate covering inspection fees.Inspections could involve anything from an X-ray scan to a more comprehensive physical analysis of your goods.These inspections may delay your shipment, so awareness of this possibility and planning can help manage potential setbacks more easily.Labeling CostsAmazon is very specific about how products should be labelled at its warehouses.Failure to label accurately can result in rejection, which leads to delays and additional expenses for your shipment.Amazon may charge a fee to relabel products on your behalf; typically, this fee depends on how many items require labelling; these costs can quickly add up if shipping large batches of items.Suppose you are working with an overseas supplier.In that case, it's essential that they fully comprehend Amazon's labelling requirements and that there is clear communication with them to avoid unnecessary costs and ensure your products can enter Amazon's system seamlessly.Storage and Port FeesOnce your shipment lands at its final destination in the U.S., it might not go straight to Amazon's warehouse due to delays with customs clearance or your not being available for immediate pickup.In this instance, you may incur storage fees, which you must pay immediately before picking it up from storage.Ports charge port dwell fees when goods remain at the port too long. If your products don't clear quickly or there are delays with organizing transportation, these fees can soon mount up.Not only must you consider port fees when transporting goods overseas, but you should also factor in additional storage fees that may accrue if your shipment remains stored for an extended period.To avoid incurring additional costs, it's essential to have an organized plan for transporting goods from port to warehouse as quickly as possible.Customs Brokerage FeesAs previously discussed, hiring a customs broker to assist with the customs clearance process could prove invaluable.Customs brokers ensure that all paperwork and regulations related to customs clearance are complied with appropriately for the smooth delivery of shipments in the U.S.Customs brokers may simplify the customs clearance process, but their services come at a cost. Their fees depend on the complexity of your shipment.Broker's fees can be an invaluable resource for new sellers or those unfamiliar with the import process. They help prevent mistakes that can cause delays and extra fines.Import Duties and TaxesOnce your products arrive in the U.S., they may be subject to import duties and taxes levied by the government based on their type and value.These charges could potentially vary depending on which products are included in the shipment.Different products carry differing duty rates; certain items might even be exempt. Duties are calculated based on the declared value of goods and their classification.Though the United States doesn't impose a nationwide Value-Added Tax (VAT), certain states levy sales taxes that could apply to your products and help you plan and budget more accurately. It is wise to determine whether they fall under this umbrella of taxes before pricing or budgeting accordingly.Failing to account for these duties and taxes could result in steep fines or delays with customs clearance, so it's vitally important to conduct adequate research in order to understand any relevant requirements and avoid incurring unexpected charges.Empty Slot FeesAmazon charges an empty slot fee if you reserve space in their warehouse but fail to deliver goods on schedule, otherwise known as an "empty slot fee".These fees compensate Amazon for the additional space and management costs they incurred due to your delayed delivery schedule. By sticking to your delivery timeline and planning accordingly, it may help avoid these additional charges.Once your goods have cleared customs, they must travel from customs clearance to Amazon fulfilment centres via an appropriate method within the U.S.There are multiple solutions here. Either ship directly to Amazon's warehouse, send them for inspection at your own location, or utilize a third-party service provider that specializes in prepping products for sale on Amazon.Direct shipping to Amazon can often be the quickest and least expensive solution; however, your goods will only be inspected once they reach Amazon.Suppose you opt to ship directly from your premises first. In that case, you can inspect products for quality before uploading them onto Amazon's marketplace. Unfortunately, this option can increase costs and add steps to the process.An intermediary service may be an ideal compromise between selling directly through Amazon and using third-party services to inspect, relabel, and ship goods directly. These services will ensure that the goods comply with Amazon standards before transporting them back.Tips for Managing and Minimizing CostsConsider Working with a Freight Forwarder: Working with a freight forwarder will allow your shipment from start to finish - including customs clearance - while providing a transparent breakdown of costs.Plan for Peak Seasons: Shipping during peak seasons. During peak seasons. Plan your shipments during off-peak times for better cost control.Assuring Compliance: For best results, ensure all goods comply with all regulations and Amazon's packaging and labelling rules to avoid rejection or additional fees.Select Reliable Suppliers: It is wise to work with suppliers who understand Amazon FBA requirements to reduce noncompliance risks and save time and money in labelling and preparation efforts.ConclusionUnderstanding the costs associated with FBA ocean freight shipping to the U.S. is vital for managing expenses effectively and streamlining logistics processes for cross-border sellers.Understanding and planning accordingly are crucial aspects of effective FBA shipping logistics processes.This will lower shipping costs and ensure a quick customs clearance process, ultimately enabling sellers to enter the U.S. market more efficiently and competitively.